Stop Guessing.
Start Knowing
The Probability.
SmartFinanceData turns millions of historical bars into clear, actionable probabilities. Know what the market is statistically likely to do next — before it does it.
Probabilities That Change How You Trade
These aren't guesses. Every number below is derived from thousands of historical sessions. Hover a dataset to explore.
Probabilities based on 15–24 years of daily data. Sample sizes ≥ 200 per bucket.
Every Major Market, Covered
50+ Probabilistic Datasets
How The Data Is Built
Raw OHLC Ingestion
We ingest tick-level and 1H OHLC data across 30+ instruments — going back 25 years on major pairs. Every bar validated and cleaned before it touches the pipeline.
- 25 years of history on majors, 10+ years on minors and crosses
- Tick data normalised to 1-minute, 1H, daily and weekly bars
- Outliers, gaps and broker anomalies flagged and removed
Statistical Processing
Chi-square tests, Bayesian posteriors, Wilson confidence intervals and Kelly Criterion applied across every dataset. Every probability has a valid sample size behind it.
- Chi-square tests for independence across all categorical splits
- Wilson confidence intervals at 95% and 99% significance
- Bayesian posteriors updated as new data arrives each month
Actionable Insights
Data is segmented by session, day-of-week, streak, volatility regime and market condition. Directly applicable to your trading setup — no PhD required.
- Session splits: Asian, London, New York and overlap windows
- Day-of-week and day-of-month breakdowns for calendar edge
- Streak and sequential context: what follows what, and how often
Zero AI in our analysis. At SmartFinanceData , we take a different approach from the growing wave of AI-generated trading analysis flooding the internet. Every probability, statistical model, ratio, and market insight published on this site is calculated manually using custom-built spreadsheets, structured datasets, and rule-based mathematical analysis — then individually reviewed, validated, and uploaded by hand. We do not use AI-generated predictions, machine learning models, automated sentiment engines, or “black box” systems that produce numbers without transparency. Every figure is derived from real market data, logical statistical processes, and repeatable calculations designed to prioritize accuracy, consistency, and clarity over hype.
Simple, Transparent Access
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know before diving into the data. Can't find your answer? Get in touch.