Open — High Statistics · Bullish Day Analysis

AUD/CHF Range
Bullish Momentum

Comprehensive analysis of how far AUD/CHF trades above the daily open on bullish sessions. Based on 1,984 bullish days spanning 24 years of price history.

Updated 5 Apr 2026 n = 1,984 24yr dataset
Sample
1,984
Bullish days analysed
Peak Zone
13.86%
400–500 pip range · most common
Avg Range
690.4
Average open → high pips
Cumulative
90.6%
Highs above 400 pips from open
Raw Data

Open–High Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution

80.3% of bullish days: high within 900 pips
90.6% exceed 400 pips — strong bullish momentum
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

1,984 bullish sessions

400–500 pip range leads at 13.86% — prime zone for take-profit scaling and trailing stops.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Peak Momentum

Peak at 400–500 Pips

13.86% of bullish days hit highs 400–500 pips above open — highest density zone for profit-taking.

Strong Momentum

53.6% Above 500 Pips

Over half of bullish days extend beyond 500 pips — trend-following edge is significant.

Big Moves Common

9.58% >1500 Pips

Trend days can be explosive: ~1 in 10 bullish days exceeds 1500 pips from open. Let runners breathe.

Deep Breakouts

90%+ Above 400 Pips

Only 9.4% of bullish days stay below 400 pips — high probability of sustained intraday momentum.

Strategy Framework

Trading Application

Understanding typical range from open helps set realistic profit targets and stop losses for bullish AUD/CHF setups.

Profit Target 1

400–500 pips

Highest probability zone — ideal for partial profit taking.

Let Runners Run

Past 1000 pips

16.2% chance to extend beyond 1000 pips — trail stops and hold.

Scaling Strategy

Scale out at 400, 700, 1000 pips

Capture momentum across high-density clusters.

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use with other analysis. AUD/CHF correlation: RBA–SNB divergence, risk-off flows.
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