AUD/NZD Bearish Momentum
Open–Low Range
Comprehensive analysis of how far AUD/NZD trades below the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 2,644 bearish days spanning two decades of price history.
Open–Low Range Distribution
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability low reaches at least that bucket on a bearish day.
Cumulative Distribution (Open → Low)
Open–Low Distribution Histogram
500–600 pip range leads at 14.07% — prime zone for take-profit placement on short positions.
Key Trading Insights
300–600 Pips
Over 40% of bearish days hit lows 300–600 pips below open — ideal profit target zone.
Only 1.32% below 100 pips
Price moves decisively from open, making tight stops unlikely to be hit prematurely.
10%+ beyond 1000 pips
Strong trends have high follow-through: low extends past 1000 pips in 1 of 10 bearish sessions.
Reliable minimum move
Mean low range ~580 pips gives a high-probability baseline target for bearish setups.
Trading Application (Open → Low)
Understanding typical downside range helps set realistic profit targets and trailing stops for bearish AUD/NZD setups.
450–650 pips
Highest probability cluster (300-600 pips) — ideal partial profit taking.
Let runners extend
Past 700 pips, trail aggressively — 10% chance of low beyond 1000 pips.
Low momentum rare
Only ~20% of bearish days stay within 300 pips — set realistic minimum expectation.
Explore Our AUD/NZD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of AUD/NZD price action.
Bearish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
Distribution of how far price falls from the daily open to the session low on bearish days.
Bearish Day Open – High Range Frequency
How far price pushes above the daily open before reversing on bearish days — rejection percentile distributions.
Consecutive Lower Low Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.
AUD/JPY Bearish Open – Close Range
Compare bearish open-close range distributions on AUD/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.
AUD/CAD Bearish Open – Close Range
Compare bearish open-close range distributions on AUD/CAD — the direct EUR strength cross.
AUD/NZD Data Hub
The full AUD/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.