AUD/NZD Bearish
Downside Range
Comprehensive analysis of how far AUD/NZD trades below the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 2,644 bearish days spanning 24 years of price history.
Open–Low Range Distribution
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bearish day (open → low).
Cumulative Distribution (Open → Low)
Range Distribution Histogram
500–600 pip range leads at 14.07% — prime downside target zone for profit taking and trailing stops.
Key Trading Insights
300–600 Pips Core Target
Over 40% of bearish days see lows 300–600 pips below open — primary profit region.
Only 1.32% Within 100 Pips
Pair tends to move decisively — weak bearish days are statistically rare.
10%+ Beyond 1000 Pips
If downside accelerates, 1 in 10 days extends past 1000 pips — let runners breathe.
High-Probability Min Target
Expect at least 450–650 pips on high-confidence setups before scaling.
Trading Low Target Application (Open → Low)
Understanding typical downside range helps set realistic profit targets and trailing stops for bearish AUD/NZD setups.
Below 300 pips
86%+ of bearish days exceed 300 pips — set realistic minimum move expectations.
450–650 pips
Highest density 300–600 pip cluster, ideal for partial profit taking.
Lock in profits
>10% chance of low past 1000 pips — trail stops to capture extended momentum.
Explore the Underlying Data
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Column Reference
Unlock the Full Dataset
| Feature | Free | Pro |
|---|---|---|
| Row limit | 100 | All rows |
| Percentile tables | ✗ | ✓ |
| Volatility breakdown | ✗ | ✓ |
| Pattern analysis | ✗ | ✓ |
| CSV export | ✗ | ✓ |
Explore Our AUD/NZD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of AUD/NZD price action.
Bearish Day Open – Close Range Frequency
How far from the daily open price closes on bearish days — range percentile distributions.
Bearish Day Open – High Range Frequency
How far price pushes above the daily open before reversing on bearish days — rejection percentile distributions.
Consecutive Lower Low Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.
AUD/JPY Bearish Open – Low Range
Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on AUD/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.
AUD/CAD Bearish Open – Low Range
Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on AUD/CAD — the direct EUR strength cross.
AUD/NZD Data Hub
The full AUD/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.