AUD/NZD Consecutive Bullish Streaks | SmartFinanceData
Consecutive Day Analysis · 1,324 Bullish Data Points

AUD/NZD Consecutive
Bullish Day Statistics

In-depth, data-driven insights revealing probability patterns and volatility metrics across consecutive bullish and bearish streaks. Identify when momentum fades and reversals become statistically significant.

Updated Apr 3, 2026 n = 1,324 bullish Daily TF
Sample
1,324
Total bullish data points
Base Rate
50.96%
Single day bullish probability
Reversal Signal
86.07%
Reversal probability after 3 bullish days
Streak Analysis

Consecutive Day Probabilities

Bullish Continuation

Streak Breakdown

1,324 obs.
StreakOccurrencesContinue %Reversal %
1 Day66250.96%49.04%
2 Day31924.56%75.44%
3 Day Signal18113.93%86.07%
4 Day765.85%94.15%
5 Day312.39%97.61%
6 Day171.31%98.69%
7 Day60.46%99.54%
8 Day60.46%99.54%
9 Day00.00%100.00%
10 Day10.08%99.92%
11 Day00.00%100.00%

Streaks of 9, 11, 12+ days: extremely rare or zero occurrences. Max recorded streak: 10 days.

Frequency

Streak Distribution

Occurrences

Frequency of each consecutive bullish day streak length. Most streaks end within 2 days.

Mean-Reversion

Reversal Probability by Streak

Reversal %

Likelihood of trend reversal increases sharply with streak length. After 3 days, odds exceed 86%.

Visual Breakdown

Continuation vs Reversal at Each Streak

Range Behaviour

Volatility Insights: Daily Price Range

Key Metrics

Range Stats

78.4
Avg Daily Range (pips)
Wednesday
Most Volatile Day
98.7
Avg Range After 3-Day Streak

After 3 consecutive bullish days, average daily range expands by +25.9% vs baseline.

Intraday Volatility

Avg Daily Range by Day of Week

Pip Range

Wednesday historically delivers the widest intraday ranges — key for targeting larger directional moves.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Insight 1

Single Day Momentum is Mildly Bullish

After one bullish day, 50.96% continue — slight upside bias, almost a coin flip with a tiny edge.

Insight 2

Two-Day Streaks Show Mean Reversion

After 2 bullish days, only 24.56% continue — 75.44% reverse. Momentum quickly fades.

Insight 3 · Key Signal

Three Days = Strong Reversal Signal

After 3 bullish days, 86.07% reverse. Only 13.93% continue — a powerful fade signal for mean-reversion traders.

Insight 4

Extended Streaks Are Rare

Only 5.85% of streaks exceed 4 days. Beyond 5 days, reversal odds exceed 97%. The longest recorded streak: 10 days.

Potential Trading Application

Analysis of AUD/NZD reveals a limited capacity for sustained bullish momentum. Extended streaks beyond four days are infrequent, comprising only 5.85% of all bullish streaks between 2001–2023. Consider:

Fading bullish runs after 3+ green days
Taking profits on longs after 2–3 consecutive up days
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis.
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The full AUD/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

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Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →