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AUD/NZD High Probability Days (Bearish)

Home » Blog » AUD/NZD High Probability Days (Bearish)

  • High Prob Days Bearish
  • March 2, 2024

AUD/NZD: High Probability Days (Bearish)

The table below provides a detailed breakdown of all high-probability bearish days (above 64%) on AUD/NZD, categorized by month and day. Discover how often each day closed bullish and bearish,
and gain valuable insights into potential selling opportunities.

Combine these insights with our proven strategies/techniques to pinpoint high-probability bearish trades on AUD/NZD.

Dataset Overview



  • Average Trading Volume: 79753

  • Start Of Data Range: 09 June 1993

  • End Of Data Range: 01 January, 2023

  • Highest Closing Price: 18 August 2011 (1.1018)

  • Lowest Closing Price: 18 May 2001 (0.4793)

  • Day With Largest Gain: 13 November 2008 (7.86%)

  • Day With Largest Loss: 26 November 2008 (-7.59%)

  • Day With Highest Volume: 24 October 2012 (1153132)

  • Day With Lowest Volume: 09 January 2018 (4276)

  • Average Trading Volume: 79753

  • Start Of Data Range: 09 June 1993

  • End Of Data Range: 01 January, 2023

  • Highest Closing Price: 18 August 2011 (1.1018)

  • Lowest Closing Price: 18 May 2001 (0.4793)

  • Day With Largest Gain: 13 November 2008 (7.86%)

  • Day With Largest Loss: 26 November 2008 (-7.59%)

  • Day With Highest Volume: 24 October 2012 (1153132)

  • Day With Lowest Volume: 09 January 2018 (4276)
Key Links/Files




  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Occurrences (Bearish)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Occurrences (Bullish)


  • AUD/NZD: Daily Close Prob (All Days)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Days (Bearish)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Days (Bullish)


  • Bullish Days Master List (+64%)


  • Bearish Days Master List (+64%)


  • Ideal Range Master List (Bullish)


  • Ideal Range Master List (Bearish)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Occurrences (Bearish)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Occurrences (Bullish)


  • AUD/NZD: Daily Close Prob (All Days)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Days (Bearish)


  • AUD/NZD: High Prob Days (Bullish)


  • Bullish Days Master List (+64%)


  • Bearish Days Master List (+64%)


  • Ideal Range Master List (Bullish)


  • Ideal Range Master List (Bearish)

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DON’T FORGET: For a comprehensive understanding of the figures behind our high-probability days, explore our “Occurrences” datasets. We’ve compiled the dates and price information (Open, High, Low, Close) for every bullish and bearish occurrence contributing to a high-probability day,
ensuring complete transparency in our analysis and probabilities.
[wpdatatable id=506]
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QUICK TIP: Use the filters above or the search bar at the top to quickly locate and sort the probabilities associated with specific months and days. This allows you to easily find the data you need for making informed decisions.

FAQ: Your Top Questions Answered!

Answers to your most pressing questions about the AUD/JPY dataset. Should you require further clarification or have more detailed inquiries about the data and analyses presented, please don’t hesitate to reach out via our Contact page for support.

“Occurrences” or “Events” refers to the number of times a specific pattern or event has occured within our historical price dataset.

Here are some examples to illustrate:

Consecutive Days: If you see 545 occurences for three consecutive bullish days, it means our analysis found 545 instances where three bullish days formed before a bearish day appeared.

Specific Patterns: If a candlestick pattern, like a pin bar, has an “occurrence” of 720, that pattern appeared 720 times in our dataset.

IMPORTANT: A higher number of occurrences generally indicates greater statistical significance. This implies the associated probabilities and insights derived from these events are potentially more reliable, as they’re based on a larger sample size from the historical data.

The probability statistics tell you how likely a specific outcome is according to how often it happened in the past.

Think of it like flipping a coin:

If Monday has a 76% probability of closing bullish, price will close bullish roughly 76 times out of 100 Mondays, based on historical data.

Just like a coin has a 50/50 chance of landing heads or tails, these probabilities help you “weigh” the odds for different market scenarios.

In short: A higher percentage means a greater chance of that particular event happening again.

Currently, our charts and data focus on the daily timeframe unless otherwise noted. Each data point (occurrence) represents a single trading day. We’re actively working to expand our analysis and will offer insights from shorter timeframes, including the 1-hour and 5-minute charts, in the future.

We source our foundational data from Barchart Premium, a trusted and widely-used industry leader in market information. This, combined with our rigorous internal quality checks, ensures the accuracy of our analysis. We analyze massive amounts of price data, so you often see high occurrence counts for high-probability events – this underscores the statistical reliability and robustness of our insights.

We update our analysis at the beginning of each year to ensure you’re always working with the most relevant market data.

While you might see a high number of occurrences for those daily high-probability events, updating our core probabilities takes longer. This is because we need a large sample size to make sure the changes you’re seeing are statistically reliable, not just random fluctuations.

Our goal is to provide trustworthy insights that give you a true edge. Sometimes, that means waiting for enough new data to make meaningful updates to those core probabilities.

Screenshot and copy/paste functions are disabled on our website. This is to protect our proprietary data and analysis, which are a core part of the value we provide to our members.

Unauthorized sharing of our insights undermines the exclusivity of our service.
We take protecting our intellectual property seriously. Attempts to circumvent these restrictions will result in immediate account termination. We appreciate your cooperation in helping us maintain a fair and valuable service for our community.

Get ready for a major expansion of our datasets! The charts and datasets you see now are just the beginning of what we plan to offer.

Here’s a quick taster:

Scalping & Intraday Strategies:
High-probability setups revealed on the 1-hour and 5-minute charts, empowering you to capitalize on short-term moves.

Diversify Your Portfolio:
Data-driven analysis for commodities and major indices, opening up new markets and trading opportunities.

Master Specific Setups:
Pin bar probabilities dissected: time of day, market conditions, and how they impact your success rate.

News Trading Made Easier:
Pre- and post-release analysis, helping you anticipate big moves and potential reversals around key economic events.

Profit From Extremes:
Strategies tailored to unique events like new 30-day highs/lows, increasing your chances of catching significant moves.

We’re committed to empowering your trading with the most comprehensive probability-based analysis suite.

Stay tuned for updates!

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  • AUD
  • Aud/Nzd

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