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Back To AUD/JPY Datasets
Open — Low Statistics · Bullish Day Analysis

AUD/JPY Range
Distribution

Comprehensive analysis of how far price moves from the daily open on bullish days. Based on 3,032 bullish sessions spanning 24 years of price history.

Updated 31 Mar 2026 n = 3,032 24yr dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
3,032
Bullish days analysed
Peak Zone
24.08%
100–200 pip range · most common
Avg Range
262.9
Average open → low pips
Cumulative
80.8%
Lows within 400 pips of open
Raw Data

Open–Low Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution

70.1% of bullish days: low within 300 pips
91.3% of bullish days: low within 600 pips
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

3,032 bullish sessions

100–200 pip range dominates at 24.08% — prime zone for stop-loss placement below the open.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Most Common

100–200 Pips

24.08% of bullish days dip 100–200 pips below the open — highest density bucket. Ideal reference for stop placement.

70% Within 300 Pips

Controlled Pullbacks

More than 2 out of 3 bullish days never extend beyond 300 pips from open. Manageable risk for swing longs.

Tight Risk Control

87.5% Within 500 Pips

Vast majority of lows cluster within 500 pips — optimal stop-loss zone balancing volatility & protection.

Deep Pullbacks Rare

0.73% >1500 Pips

Only ~1 in 137 bullish days sees extreme dip beyond 1500 pips. Flash events are uncommon but monitor macro.

Strategy Framework

Trading Application

Leverage range statistics to refine stop placement and risk parameters on bullish AUD/JPY setups.

Stop Placement

200–300 Pips Below Open

Covers ~70% of bullish lows. Balances statistical edge with capital preservation.

Trail Stops

Trail Under 400 Pips on Momentum

80.8% of lows within 400 pips — tighten stops after extension to protect gains.

Reversion Entry

Buy Dips 200–300 Pips

Historical mean-reversion edge: 200–300 pip dips on confirmed bullish days offer favourable risk/reward.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use with other analysis. AUD/JPY sensitivity: commodity & risk sentiment driven.
Raw Dataset

Explore the Underlying Data

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Total rows in file
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Schema · Dashboard Sheet

Column Reference

— columns
Pro Access

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Complete dataset · Percentile tables · CSV export
Full dataset — every trading day since 2000
Percentile distribution: 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, 95th, 99th
Volatility regime breakdown (low/med/high volatility periods)
Reversal / pattern analysis by streak length
One-click CSV export for backtesting and statistical modeling
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Feature Free Pro
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Percentile tables✗✓
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Data Library

Explore Our AUD/JPY Datasets

Dive deeper into specific aspects of AUD/JPY price action.

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How far from the daily open price closes on bullish days — range percentile distributions.

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Bullish Day Open – High Range Frequency

Distribution of how far price travels from the daily open to the session high on bullish days.

Daily candles analysed View →
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Consecutive Higher High Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.

6,420 days tracked View →
Related Pair

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Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on AUD/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.

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Data Hub

AUD/JPY Data Hub

The full AUD/JPY dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All AUD/JPY datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
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© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.