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Back To AUD/USD Datasets
Open — High Statistics · Bullish Day Analysis

AUD/USD Range
Upside Momentum

Comprehensive analysis of how far AUD/USD rallies above the daily open on bullish sessions. Based on 4,204 bullish days spanning 24 years.

Updated 31 Mar 2026 n = 4,204 24yr dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
4,204
Bullish days analysed
Peak Zone
14.91%
300–400 pip range · most common
Avg Range
507.2
Average open → high pips
Cumulative
59.7%
Highs within 500 pips of open
Raw Data

Open–High Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution

68.8% of bullish days: high within 600 pips
90.3% of bullish days: high within 1000 pips
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

4,204 bullish sessions

300–400 pip range dominates at 14.91% — ideal profit target zone for bullish momentum.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Balanced Momentum

200–400 pips consistency

Even spread from 200 to 400 pips (14.41% + 14.91%) — reliable upside structure without extreme gaps.

Strong follow-through

60%+ above 400 pips

Majority of bullish days exceed 400 pips, highlighting sustained buying pressure after initial breakout.

Big Moves

2.62% over 1500 pips

Rare but powerful trend days: 110 sessions surged 1500+ pips from open. Let winners breathe.

Peak: 300–400 pips

14.91% — high-probability target

Prime zone for partial profit taking; aligns with the highest density bucket.

Strategy Framework

📈 Trading Application

Maximize gains with scaled targets. Momentum is strong — structure exits to capture extended runs.

Target zone

300–500 pips — 40%+ hit rate

Primary take-profit region based on 300-400 & 400-500 density (14.9% + 11.8%).

Scale-out levels

400, 700, 1000 pips

Ladder exits: reduce risk at 400, trail at 700, let runners target 1000+.

Let winners run

Past 1200 pips → explosive potential

2.62% of days exceed 1500 pips; use trailing stops after 1000 to capture trend extensions.

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use with confluence. Iron ore correlation: +0.71 (significant)
Raw Dataset

Explore the Underlying Data

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Total rows in file
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Workbook Sheets

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Upgrade to Pro to access the complete dataset and CSV export.
Schema · Dashboard Sheet

Column Reference

— columns
Pro Access

Unlock the Full Dataset

SFD Pro Dataset Access
Complete dataset · Percentile tables · CSV export
Full dataset — every trading day since 2000
Percentile distribution: 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, 95th, 99th
Volatility regime breakdown (low/med/high volatility periods)
Reversal / pattern analysis by streak length
One-click CSV export for backtesting and statistical modeling
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Feature Free Pro
Row limit100All rows
Percentile tables✗✓
Volatility breakdown✗✓
Pattern analysis✗✓
CSV export✗✓
Data Library

Explore Our AUD/USD Datasets

Dive deeper into specific aspects of AUD/USD price action.

Free

Bullish Day Open – Close Range Frequency

How far from the daily open price closes on bullish days — range percentile distributions.

All bullish daily closes View →
Free

Bullish Day Open – Low Range Frequency

Drawdown distribution from daily open to session low on bullish days — key for stop placement.

All bullish daily candles View →
Free

Consecutive Higher High Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.

6,420 days tracked View →
Related Pair

AUD/JPY Bullish Open – High Range

Compare bullish open-high range distributions on AUD/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

AUD/CAD Bullish Open – High Range

Compare bullish open-high range distributions on AUD/CAD — the direct EUR strength cross.

Daily candles analysed View →
Data Hub

AUD/USD Data Hub

The full AUD/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All AUD/USD datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
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© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.