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Back To EUR/GBP Datasets
Bearish Day Open — Low Statistics

EUR/GBP
Bearish Range Distribution

How far EUR/GBP trades above the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 2,889 bearish days across 24 years of price history.

Updated 02 Nov 2025 n = 2,889 24yr dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
2,889
Bearish days analysed
Peak Zone
17.52%
200–300 pip range · most common
Avg Range
460.8
Average open → low pips
Cumulative
68.6%
Lows within 500 pips of open
Raw Data

Open–Low Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bearish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution

76.5% of bearish days: low within 600 pips
92.4% of bearish days: low within 1000 pips
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

2,889 bearish sessions

200–300 pip range dominates at 17.52% — prime zone for take-profit placement below the open.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Highest Target Zone

200–400 Pip Cluster

200–300 pips (17.52%) + 300–400 pips (17.31%) = 34.83% combined density. Optimal take-profit zone for intraday shorts.

Median Threshold

55.9% Beyond 300 Pips

More than half of bearish days exceed 300 pips below open, signaling extended bearish momentum as typical.

Shallow Targets Rare

Only 4.08% Under 100 Pips

Low forms within 100 pips of open on just 4% of days. Aggressive targets are statistically rewarded.

High-Confidence Targets

31.4% Beyond 500 Pips

Nearly 1 in 3 bearish days travels 500+ pips, offering substantial swing trade profit potential.

Strategy Framework

Trading Low Target Application

The Open–Low range is vital for realistic profit targets and trailing stops, confirming bearish momentum potential.

Initial Take-Profit

200–400 Pips

Targets the highest probability cluster (51.86% cumulative) for consistent short exits.

Swing Targets

Beyond 500 Pips

31% probability of exceeding 500 pips — excellent reward potential for swing shorts.

Patience Edge

Wait Beyond 100 Pips

Only 4% of lows occur inside 100 pips. Let the trade develop before tightening stops.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis. BoE & ECB policy divergence matters
Data Library

Explore Our EUR/GBP Datasets

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Consecutive Lower Low Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.

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Related Pair

EUR/USD Bearish Open – Low Range

Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on EUR/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

EUR/GBP Bearish Open – Low Range

Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.

Daily candles analysed View →
Data Hub

EUR/GBP Data Hub

The full EUR/GBP dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All EUR/GBP datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
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© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.