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Back To EUR/NZD Datasets
Open — Low Statistics · Bearish Day Analysis

EUR/NZD Bearish Momentum
Open → Low Range Distribution

Comprehensive analysis of how far EUR/NZD trades below the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 2,984 bearish days covering extended price history.

Updated 02 Nov 2025 n = 2,984 Long-term dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
2,984
Bearish days analysed
Peak Zone
31.23%
>1500 pip range · dominant cluster
Avg Range
1136.7
Average open → low pips
Extreme Bias
68.93%
Lows beyond 1400 pips from open
Raw Data

Open–Low Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bearish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution (Low ≥ X pips)

52.08% of bearish days: low extends beyond 1200 pips
Only 0.87% within 200 pips — shallow targets extremely rare
Frequency Chart

Open-Low Distribution Histogram

2,984 bearish sessions

>1500 pip range dominates at 31.23% — extreme volatility signature of EUR/NZD on bearish days.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Extreme Volatility Target

>1500 pip cluster: 31.23%

The largest single probability for the daily low — highlights trend-driven, deep bearish days.

Median Target Threshold

1200+ pips: 52.08%

The low forms beyond 1200 pips below open on >52% of bearish days — strong extended potential.

Shallow Targets Rare

Only 0.87% within 200 pips

EUR/NZD almost always provides a significant bearish move — avoid closing too early.

Consistency Zone

700–1400 pip belt: 35%+

Even distribution across mid-range, providing reliable scaling zones for partial profit.

Strategy Framework

Trading Low Target Application (Open → Low)

The open-low range is vital for realistic profit targets and trailing stops, confirming the pair's bearish momentum potential.

High-Confidence Target

≥1200 pips

Low forms there 52% of the time — high-probability take-profit zone.

High-Reward Extension

>1500 pip zone

31.23% chance of hitting daily low beyond 1500 pips — let runners breathe.

Avoid Premature Exit

Stay patient past 500 pips

Only 11.39% chance low forms within first 500 pips — hold for deeper targets.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis. EUR/NZD correlation: ECB–RBNZ policy divergence, commodity sensitivity.
Data Library

Explore Our EUR/NZD Datasets

Dive deeper into specific aspects of EUR/NZD price action.

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Consecutive Lower Low Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

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Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on EUR/AUD — a highly correlated USD pair.

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Data Hub

EUR/NZD Data Hub

The full EUR/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All EUR/NZD datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
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© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.