Skip to content
SMARTFINANCEDATA
Home Markets Insights Analysis (Beta) Blog Tools Contact
Latest Updates New
NEW UPDATE: Weekday High/Low Break Probability data is now being uploaded. Update
These new statistics show the probability of each weekday's high or low being broken, segmented by the size of that…
Jul 26, 2026
Bullish/Bearish Consecutive Streaks Spreadsheets Issue! New
We're currently investigating an issue where the Bullish/Bearish Consecutive Streaks spreadsheets are only loading the OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close)…
Jul 3, 2026
Sign In Get Access
Home Markets Insights Tools Blog Contact Pricing
Sign In Get Access
Back To GBP/AUD Datasets
Open — Low Statistics · Bearish Day Analysis

GBP/AUD Bearish Momentum
Open–Low Range

Comprehensive analysis of how far GBP/AUD trades below the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 3,155 bearish days covering 24 years of price history.

Updated 02 Nov 2025 n = 3,155 24yr dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
3,155
Bearish days analysed
Peak Zone
39.33%
>1500 pip range · most dominant
Avg Low Range
1212.7
Average open → low pips
Cumulative
97.4%
Lows exceed 300 pips from open
Raw Data

Open–Low Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bearish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution (Open → Low)

52.74% of bearish days: low extends beyond 1200 pips
97.4% exceed 300 pips — extreme bearish follow-through
Frequency Chart

Open-Low Range Histogram

3,155 bearish sessions

>1500 pip range dominates at 39.33% — GBP/AUD exhibits massive bearish trending behavior.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Extreme Volatility

39.33% >1500 Pips

The largest single probability is the >1500 pip range — massive trend-driven bearish days are the norm.

Median Threshold

52.7% beyond 1200 pips

Low forms beyond 1200 pips on over half of bearish days, validating extended bearish targets.

Shallow Targets Rare

<300 pips: 2.60%

Low within 300 pips only 2.6% of days — avoid closing early, momentum is consistent.

Consistency Zone

700–1200 pip cluster

24%+ of days fall in 700–1200 zone — ideal for scaling or partial profit taking.

Strategy Framework

Trading Low Target Application

Open–Low range helps set realistic profit targets & trailing stops for bearish GBP/AUD setups.

High Confidence Target

1200+ pips

~53% probability low extends beyond 1200 — aim for this zone.

Primary Long-Term Target

>1500 pips

39.33% chance to be daily low — let runners run.

Avoid Early Exit

<500 pips = 8.94%

Very rare to stop inside initial 500 pips; hold for extension.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis. GBP/AUD: BoE–RBA divergence, risk-on/off sensitivity.
Data Library

Explore Our GBP/AUD Datasets

Dive deeper into specific aspects of GBP/AUD price action.

Free

Bearish Day Open – Close Range Frequency

How far from the daily open price closes on bearish days — range percentile distributions.

All bearish daily closes View →
Free

Bearish Day Open – High Range Frequency

How far price pushes above the daily open before reversing on bearish days — rejection percentile distributions.

Daily candles analysed View →
Free

Consecutive Lower Low Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

GBP/USD Bearish Open – Low Range

Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on GBP/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

EUR/GBP Bearish Open – Low Range

Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.

Daily candles analysed View →
Data Hub

GBP/AUD Data Hub

The full GBP/AUD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All GBP/AUD datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
SmartFinanceData

Probabilistic market analytics across Forex, Indices, Commodities & Crypto — powered by 50+ datasets and millions of data points.

Product
Insights Markets Pricing Team Login
Resources
Methodology Disclaimer Terms Of Service Privacy Policy FAQ Contact

© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.