Skip to content
SMARTFINANCEDATA
Home Markets Insights Analysis (Beta) Blog Tools Contact
Latest Updates New
NEW UPDATE: Weekday High/Low Break Probability data is now being uploaded. Update
These new statistics show the probability of each weekday's high or low being broken, segmented by the size of that…
Jul 26, 2026
Bullish/Bearish Consecutive Streaks Spreadsheets Issue! New
We're currently investigating an issue where the Bullish/Bearish Consecutive Streaks spreadsheets are only loading the OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close)…
Jul 3, 2026
Sign In Get Access
Home Markets Insights Tools Blog Contact Pricing
Sign In Get Access
Back To GBP/CHF Datasets
Open — High Statistics · Bearish Day Analysis

GBP/CHF Bearish
Retracement Dynamics

Comprehensive analysis of how far GBP/CHF trades above the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 3,049 bearish days covering extensive historical price action.

Updated 02 Nov 2025 n = 3,049 Multi‑year dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
3,049
Bearish days analyzed
Peak Zone
20.01%
100–200 pip range · most frequent
Avg High Range
376.3
Average open → high pips (retracement)
Coverage
90.46%
Highs within 800 pips from open
Raw Data

Open–High Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of high reaching at least that bucket on a bearish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Retracement Distribution

93.15% of bearish days: high within 900 pips
74.76% exceed 400 pips — short entries must account for moderate retracement
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

3,049 bearish sessions

100–200 pip range leads at 20.01% — primary cluster for retracement before continuation lower.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Peak Retracement Zone

100-300 pip cluster

36.54% of highs occur in the 100-300 pip range — the highest-density area for short entry after initial pullback.

High-Confidence Stop

900+ pips coverage

93% of bearish days have highs within 900 pips. A stop just above that offers excellent historical safety for shorts.

Initial Pullback Expected

Only 3.05% ultra‑tight

Immediate bearish continuation is rare. Over 96% see a retracement >10 pips — always plan for a bounce.

500 pip threshold

75% coverage

A stop loss at 500 pips covers three‑quarters of historical highs — a moderate, high‑probability choice.

Strategy Framework

Trading Stop‑Loss Application (Open–High)

On bearish GBP/CHF days, the Open-High range defines optimal stop placement for short entries, accounting for typical retracement.

Conservative stop

900–1000 pips above entry

Covers 93%+ of historical Open-High movement — robust safety.

Optimal entry zone

100–300 pip cluster (36.5%)

Wait for price to approach this high-probability zone before entering short.

Moderate stop

500 pips from short entry

Covers 74.8% of highs — balanced frequency vs risk.

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis. GBP/CHF correlation: SNB intervention risk, Brexit/CHF safe‑haven flows.
Data Library

Explore Our GBP/CHF Datasets

Dive deeper into specific aspects of GBP/CHF price action.

Free

Bearish Day Open – Close Range Frequency

How far from the daily open price closes on bearish days — range percentile distributions.

All bearish daily closes View →
Free

Bearish Day Open – Low Range Frequency

Distribution of how far price falls from the daily open to the session low on bearish days.

Daily candles analysed View →
Free

Consecutive Lower Low Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

GBP/USD Bearish Open – High Range

Compare bearish open-high rejection distributions on GBP/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.

Daily candles analysed View →
Related Pair

GBP/JPY Bearish Open – High Range

Compare bearish open-high rejection distributions on GBP/JPY — the direct EUR strength cross.

Daily candles analysed View →
Data Hub

GBP/CHF Data Hub

The full GBP/CHF dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All GBP/CHF datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
SmartFinanceData

Probabilistic market analytics across Forex, Indices, Commodities & Crypto — powered by 50+ datasets and millions of data points.

Product
Insights Markets Pricing Team Login
Resources
Methodology Disclaimer Terms Of Service Privacy Policy FAQ Contact

© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.