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Daily Close Probability

Backtested bullish/bearish close probabilities across all instruments. Filter by pair, check active conditions, and get an edge before the NY close.

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⚡ High-Confidence Bullish Edge Detected
5 of 7 tracked instruments show bullish close probability >65% today. GBP/USD, EUR/USD and GBP/JPY have stacked conditions including prior-day bearish streak exhaustion, Asian session compression, and day-of-week bias. Exercise caution with counter-trend setups.
Day of Week Friday
Session Active NY Open
Bullish Pairs 5 / 8
Bearish Pairs 2 / 8
Avg Bull Prob 68.4%
All Instruments

Probability Summary Table

Fri 18 Apr 2026
Instrument Bull Close % Bear Close % 1H Best Session Bias Confidence Key Condition Samples Edge vs Base
Methodology

Probabilities are calculated from 15–25 years of OHLC daily data per instrument. Each score is a conditional probability given the active conditions today (streak length, day-of-week, session context, range characteristics). Base rate comparison is the unconditional daily close bias over the same dataset. All backtests are historical — not indicative of future results.