Live odds — updated after each daily close
Home Daily Close Odds Calendar
366-Day Backtest

Daily Close Odds Calendar

Every calendar day's historical probability of closing bullish or bearish. Darker shades mean stronger odds — pick a pair and a month to see the edge for any given day.

Select Instrument
4 free · more on Pro
Viewing EUR/USD
Days Sampled 365
Strongest Bullish Day
Strongest Bearish Day

Weaker odds
Stronger odds
Go Deeper

Odds are context, not a signal

A day showing 75% historical bullish odds still needs a reason to move. Supply & demand zones, market structure, and confirmation patterns are what turn a statistic like this into an actual trade idea — these lessons on PriceActionNinja go deeper into reading that context alongside the calendar above.

Odds Distribution

How many of the year's days land at each probability, for the bias currently selected. Click a row to see exactly which days.

How odds are read

Each day-of-year cell shows the historical percentage of years that instrument closed bullish (or bearish) on that calendar date, from 15–25 years of daily OHLC data. Shade depth scales with how far the probability sits from a 50/50 coin-flip.

Not a standalone signal. Close probability is one historical data point, not a trade trigger. Never use it as the sole basis for a trade — combine it with other probabilities, current price action, and your own risk management before making any decision.

Unlock additional high-odds days with Pro

That's how many calendar days across every locked instrument show a 65%+ historical close probability — Pro members get the full odds calendar for every pair we track, not just the four free ones.