EUR/AUD Complete
Statistics & Probabilities
Comprehensive data insights from 5,731 trading days spanning 22 years of market history. Dataset covers 2001–2023 across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
Daily Close Bias
Bull vs Bear Day Split
EUR/AUD shows a slight bearish tilt — 52.3% of days close red over 22 years. 2,644 bearish vs 2,491 bullish days.
Historical Data Range
Bullish vs Bearish Counts
Volatility Statistics
EUR/AUD carries moderate tail risk — kurtosis of 2.90 sits above AUD/USD but well below JPY or GBP pairs. Both the largest gain (+6.34%) and loss (−7.40%) occurred in October 2008 during the GFC, within just 5 days of each other.
Near-symmetric distribution with mild positive skew (+0.18) and moderate fat tails (kurtosis 2.90). 7.29% total return range — driven by commodity-cycle and risk-sentiment swings.
Key Trading Insights
52.3% bearish days — a mild but consistent tilt
EUR/AUD closes red more often than green over 22 years. The 4.5% gap between bear and bull days is consistent across weekly counts too.
66.10% higher highs on bullish days
On bullish days, 2 in 3 sessions make a higher high. Momentum continuation is a universal forex pattern — EUR/AUD is no exception.
71.84% lower highs on bearish days
Sellers dominate structure on down days — over 7 in 10 red closes register a lower high, indicating clean bearish expansion.
69.90% higher lows on bullish days
Nearly 7 in 10 bullish sessions also hold a higher low — tight, expansive candles dominate EUR/AUD green days.
+6.34% and −7.40% within 5 days
Both the largest gain and loss in the dataset occurred in October 2008 — the financial crisis produced violent whipsaws in EUR/AUD.
604 bullish vs 625 bearish weeks
Weekly counts confirm near-parity with a marginal bearish tilt. The pair oscillates in long macro cycles rather than sustaining directional trends.
Explore Related EUR/AUD Data
Daily Close Probability Calendar
Month-by-month calendar view of EUR/AUD daily close probabilities broken down by day of week and date.
Bullish Streak Probabilities
Continuation and reversal odds after consecutive bullish closes on EUR/AUD daily candles.
Higher High Streak Probabilities
Frequency and reversal probability of consecutive daily higher highs forming on EUR/AUD.
Lower Low Streak Probabilities
Frequency and reversal probability of consecutive daily lower lows forming on EUR/AUD.
Open – Close Range Probabilities
How far from the daily open price closes on bullish and bearish days — range percentile distributions for EUR/AUD.
EUR/AUD Data Hub
The full EUR/AUD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.