Open — High Statistics · Bullish Day Analysis

EUR/GBP Range
Controlled Upside

Comprehensive analysis of how far EUR/GBP rallies above the daily open on bullish sessions. Based on 2,798 bullish days spanning 24 years of price history.

Updated 31 Mar 2026 n = 2,798 24yr dataset
Sample
2,798
Bullish days analysed
Peak Zone
19.55%
200–300 pip range · most common
Avg Range
480.4
Average open → high pips
Low Vol
2.61%
>1500 pip rallies · mean reversion king
Raw Data

Open–High Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution

51% of bullish days: high within 400 pips
Only 2.61% exceed 1500 pips — mean reversion
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

2,798 bullish sessions

200–300 pip zone dominates at 19.55% — controlled momentum sweet spot for EUR/GBP.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Controlled Upside

51% between 200-400 pips

Steady grind dominates — EUR/GBP shows disciplined, predictable moves without wild spikes on bullish days.

Peak: 200-300 pips

19.55% momentum hotspot

Highest single bucket density. Ideal for taking profits and avoiding overextension.

81% Below 700 pips

Predictable, no wild spikes

Over 81% of bullish sessions stay below 700 pips — the pair rarely runs away on you.

Low Vol King

Only 2.61% over 1500 pips

Extreme moves are rare. Mean reversion rules — fade the extremes with confidence.

Strategy Framework

Capture Small Wins

Mean reversion dominates — take profits early and fade the extremes. Data-backed approach for EUR/GBP range trading.

Target 250-450 pips

50%+ probability zone

Statistically high-probability range. Aligns with the 200-400 pip density peak.

Scale out at 300 & 600 pips

Lock profits stepwise

Partial exits at key psychological thresholds; 81% of moves stay below 700 pips.

Fade extremes

Mean reversion rules

Only 2.61% exceed 1500 pips — fade parabolic moves and look for reversal signals.

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Watch Brexit & ECB/BoE news. Brexit correlation: High | ECB/BoE policy sensitive
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Data Hub

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The full EUR/GBP dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

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