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EUR/USD: Daily Close Probability (%)

The table below provides a detailed breakdown of the historical closing probability for all trading days on EUR/USD, organized by month and day. The data also includes the number of times each day closed bullish or bearish, validating our analysis and probability figures.

Use these insights to help you time your trades, align your lower timeframe strategies with each days closing odds, and boost your overall success trading EUR/USD.

Dataset Overview
  • Average Trading Volume: 129728
  • Start Of Data Range: 04 January 1999
  • End Of Data Range: 01 January, 2023
  • Highest Closing Price: 22 April 2008 (1.599)
  • Lowest Closing Price: 25 October 2000 (0.8271)
  • Day With Largest Gain: 18 March 2009 (3.46%)
  • Day With Largest Loss: 03 January 2001 (-2.59%)
  • Day With Highest Volume: 20 June 2013 (2763921)
  • Day With Lowest Volume: 01 January 2018 (4021)
Key Links/Files
  • EUR/USD: High Prob Occurrences (Bearish)
  • EUR/USD: High Prob Occurrences (Bullish)
  • EUR/USD: Daily Close Prob (All Days)
  • EUR/USD: High Prob Days (Bearish)
  • EUR/USD: High Prob Days (Bullish)
  • Bullish Days Master List (+64%)
  • Bearish Days Master List (+64%)
  • Ideal Range Master List (Bullish)
  • Ideal Range Master List (Bearish)
0 DON'T FORGET: For a comprehensive understanding of the figures behind our high-probability days, explore our "Occurrences" datasets. We've compiled the dates and price information (Open, High, Low, Close) for every bullish and bearish occurrence contributing to a high-probability day, ensuring complete transparency in our analysis and probabilities.
Month Day Closed Bullish Closed Bearish Total Bullish Day Probability Bearish Day Probability
January 1 16 0 16 100.00% 0.00%
January 2 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
January 3 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
January 4 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
January 5 6 12 18 33.33% 66.67%
January 6 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
January 7 6 12 18 33.33% 66.67%
January 8 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
January 9 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
January 10 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
January 11 12 7 19 63.16% 36.84%
January 12 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
January 13 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
January 14 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
January 15 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
January 16 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
January 17 5 13 18 27.78% 72.22%
January 18 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
January 19 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
January 20 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
January 21 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
January 22 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
January 23 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
January 24 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
January 25 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
January 26 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
January 27 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
January 28 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
January 29 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
January 30 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
January 31 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
Febuary 1 13 6 19 68.42% 31.58%
Febuary 2 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
Febuary 3 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
Febuary 4 6 12 18 33.33% 66.67%
Febuary 5 5 11 16 31.25% 68.75%
Febuary 6 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
Febuary 7 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
Febuary 8 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
Febuary 9 15 3 18 83.33% 16.67%
Febuary 10 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
Febuary 11 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
Febuary 12 7 9 16 43.75% 56.25%
Febuary 13 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
Febuary 14 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
Febuary 15 9 10 19 73.68% 26.32%
Febuary 16 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
Febuary 17 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
Febuary 18 5 13 18 27.78% 72.22%
Febuary 19 14 3 17 82.35% 17.65%
Febuary 20 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
Febuary 21 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
Febuary 22 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
Febuary 23 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
Febuary 24 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
Febuary 25 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
Febuary 26 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
Febuary 27 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
Febuary 28 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
Febuary 29 0 4 4 0.00% 100.00%
March 1 4 15 19 21.05% 78.95%
March 2 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
March 3 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
March 4 8 8 16 50.00% 50.00%
March 5 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
March 6 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
March 7 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
March 8 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
March 9 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
March 10 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
March 11 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
March 12 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
March 13 8 8 16 50.00% 50.00%
March 14 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
March 15 12 7 19 63.16% 36.84%
March 16 15 4 19 78.95% 21.05%
March 17 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
March 18 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
March 19 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
March 20 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
March 21 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
March 22 7 12 19 36.84% 63.16%
March 23 7 12 19 36.84% 63.16%
March 24 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
March 25 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
March 26 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
March 27 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
March 28 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
March 29 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
March 30 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
March 31 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
April 1 10 6 16 62.50% 37.50%
April 2 4 13 17 23.53% 76.47%
April 3 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
April 4 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
April 5 8 11 19 42.11% 57.89%
April 6 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
April 7 4 14 18 22.22% 77.78%
April 8 10 6 16 62.50% 37.50%
April 9 12 5 17 70.59% 29.41%
April 10 9 6 15 60.00% 40.00%
April 11 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
April 12 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
April 13 8 11 19 42.11% 57.89%
April 14 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
April 15 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
April 16 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
April 17 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
April 18 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
April 19 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
April 20 7 12 19 36.84% 63.16%
April 21 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
April 22 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
April 23 5 11 16 31.25% 68.75%
April 24 13 4 17 76.47% 23.53%
April 25 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
April 26 12 7 19 63.16% 36.84%
April 27 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
April 28 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
April 29 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
April 30 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
May 1 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
May 2 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
May 3 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
May 4 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
May 5 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
May 6 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
May 7 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
May 8 6 10 16 37.50% 62.50%
May 9 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
May 10 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
May 11 7 12 19 36.84% 63.16%
May 12 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
May 13 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
May 14 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
May 15 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
May 16 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
May 17 8 11 19 42.11% 57.89%
May 18 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
May 19 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
May 20 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
May 21 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
May 22 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
May 23 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
May 24 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
May 25 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
May 26 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
May 27 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
May 28 5 11 16 31.25% 68.75%
May 29 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
May 30 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
May 31 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
June 1 8 11 19 42.11% 57.89%
June 2 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
June 3 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
June 4 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
June 5 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
June 6 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
June 7 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
June 8 6 13 19 31.58% 68.42%
June 9 6 12 18 33.33% 66.67%
June 10 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
June 11 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
June 12 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
June 13 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
June 14 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
June 15 14 5 19 73.68% 26.32%
June 16 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
June 17 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
June 18 10 6 16 62.50% 37.50%
June 19 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
June 20 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
June 21 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
June 22 8 11 19 42.11% 57.89%
June 23 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
June 24 12 5 17 70.59% 29.41%
June 25 11 5 16 68.75% 31.25%
June 26 7 9 16 43.75% 56.25%
June 27 14 4 18 77.78% 22.22%
June 28 7 12 19 36.84% 63.16%
June 29 13 6 19 68.42% 31.58%
June 30 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
July 1 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
July 2 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
July 3 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
July 4 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
July 5 5 14 19 26.32% 73.68%
July 6 14 5 19 73.68% 26.32%
July 7 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
July 8 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
July 9 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
July 10 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
July 11 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
July 12 6 13 19 31.58% 68.42%
July 13 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
July 14 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
July 15 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
July 16 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
July 17 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
July 18 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
July 19 8 11 19 42.11% 57.89%
July 20 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
July 21 13 5 18 72.22% 27.78%
July 22 3 14 17 17.65% 82.35%
July 23 6 10 16 37.50% 62.50%
July 24 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
July 25 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
July 26 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
July 27 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
July 28 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
July 29 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
July 30 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
July 31 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
August 1 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
August 2 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
August 3 11 8 19 57.89% 42.11%
August 4 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
August 5 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
August 6 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
August 7 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
August 8 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
August 9 10 9 19 52.63% 47.37%
August 10 9 10 19 47.37% 52.63%
August 11 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
August 12 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
August 13 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
August 14 4 12 16 25.00% 75.00%
August 15 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
August 16 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
August 17 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
August 18 6 10 16 37.50% 62.50%
August 19 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
August 20 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
August 21 10 6 16 62.50% 37.50%
August 22 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
August 23 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
August 24 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
August 25 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
August 26 4 13 17 23.53% 76.47%
August 27 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
August 28 6 10 16 37.50% 62.50%
August 29 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
August 30 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
August 31 13 5 18 72.22% 27.78%
September 1 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
September 2 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
September 3 8 8 16 50.00% 50.00%
September 4 7 9 16 43.75% 56.25%
September 5 6 10 16 37.50% 62.50%
September 6 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
September 7 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
September 8 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
September 9 12 5 17 70.59% 29.41%
September 10 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
September 11 10 6 16 62.50% 37.50%
September 12 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
September 13 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
September 14 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
September 15 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
September 16 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
September 17 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
September 18 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
September 19 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
September 20 5 13 18 27.78% 72.22%
September 21 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
September 22 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
September 23 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
September 24 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
September 25 6 10 16 37.50% 62.50%
September 26 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
September 27 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
September 28 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
September 29 12 5 17 70.59% 29.41%
September 30 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
October 1 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
October 2 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
October 3 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
October 4 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
October 5 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
October 6 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
October 7 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
October 8 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
October 9 7 9 16 43.75% 56.25%
October 10 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
October 11 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
October 12 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
October 13 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
October 14 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
October 15 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
October 16 5 10 15 33.33% 66.67%
October 17 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
October 18 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
October 19 12 6 18 66.67% 33.33%
October 20 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
October 21 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
October 22 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
October 23 5 11 16 31.25% 68.75%
October 24 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
October 25 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
October 26 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
October 27 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
October 28 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
October 29 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
October 30 7 8 15 46.67% 53.33%
October 31 5 12 17 29.41% 70.59%
November 1 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
November 2 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
November 3 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
November 4 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
November 5 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
November 6 7 9 16 43.75% 56.25%
November 7 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
November 8 6 12 18 33.33% 66.67%
November 9 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
November 10 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
November 11 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
November 12 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
November 13 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
November 14 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
November 15 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
November 16 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
November 17 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
November 18 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
November 19 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
November 20 5 11 16 31.25% 68.75%
November 21 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
November 22 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
November 23 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
November 24 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
November 25 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
November 26 10 7 17 58.82% 41.18%
November 27 5 11 16 31.25% 68.75%
November 28 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
November 29 9 9 18 50.00% 50.00%
November 30 11 7 18 61.11% 38.89%
December 1 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
December 2 7 10 17 41.18% 58.82%
December 3 13 4 17 76.47% 23.53%
December 4 8 8 16 50.00% 50.00%
December 5 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
December 6 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
December 7 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
December 8 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
December 9 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
December 10 9 8 17 52.94% 47.06%
December 11 8 8 16 50.00% 50.00%
December 12 13 4 17 76.47% 23.53%
December 13 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
December 14 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
December 15 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
December 16 12 5 17 70.59% 29.41%
December 17 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
December 18 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
December 19 6 11 17 35.29% 64.71%
December 20 10 8 18 55.56% 44.44%
December 21 7 11 18 38.89% 61.11%
December 22 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
December 23 9 7 16 56.25% 43.75%
December 24 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
December 25 14 2 16 87.50% 12.50%
December 26 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
December 27 14 4 18 77.78% 22.22%
December 28 8 10 18 44.44% 55.56%
December 29 11 6 17 64.71% 35.29%
December 30 13 4 17 76.47% 23.53%
December 31 8 9 17 47.06% 52.94%
Month Day Closed Bullish Closed Bearish Total Bullish Day Probability Bearish Day Probability
0 QUICK TIP: Use the filters above or the search bar at the top to quickly locate and sort the probabilities associated with specific months and days. This allows you to easily find the data you need for making informed decisions.

FAQ: Your Top Questions Answered!

Find answers to your top questions about our EUR/USD dataset below. Need more in-depth help about the charts and datasets presented? Contact us directly – we're always happy to support your trading journey!

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