EUR/USD Bearish
Open-High Range
Comprehensive analysis of how far EUR/USD trades above the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 3,146 bearish days spanning 24 years of price history.
Open–High Range Distribution (Bearish Days)
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of high forming within range on a bearish day.
Cumulative Distribution (High Above Open)
Open-High Range Histogram
100–200 pip range dominates at 24.32% — prime zone for stop-loss placement above the open.
Key Trading Insights
51% Within 200 Pips
Over 51% of bearish days see the high form within 200 pips of the open, with 100-200 pips being the most frequent (24.32%).
92% Coverage at 600 Pips
Placing a stop-loss beyond 600 pips covers 92.02% of all counter-moves — excellent risk control for EUR/USD shorts.
27% Within 100 Pips
Nearly 27% of days have the high within 100 pips, offering early confirmation of bearish momentum.
0.35% Beyond 1500 Pips
Rare blowouts >1500 pips occur only 0.35% of bearish days. Macro events matter.
Trading Stop-Loss Application (Open-High)
On bearish EUR/USD days, the Open-High range defines optimal stop-loss placement to survive typical counter-moves.
220–250 pips above entry
Covers ~70% of highs — balances safety & risk.
120 pips stop above entry
Valid on over 50% of bearish days; early entry confirmation.
Beyond 200 pips retracement
Only 32% of days extend further; lock gains quickly.
Explore Our EUR/USD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of EUR/USD price action.
Bearish Day Open – Close Range Frequency
How far from the daily open price closes on bearish days — range percentile distributions.
Bearish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
Distribution of how far price falls from the daily open to the session low on bearish days.
Consecutive Lower Low Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.
EUR/JPY Bearish Open – High Range
Compare bearish open-high rejection distributions on EUR/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.
EUR/GBP Bearish Open – High Range
Compare bearish open-high rejection distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.
EUR/USD Data Hub
The full EUR/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.