Consecutive Day Analysis · 1,664 Bearish Data Points

EUR/USD Consecutive
Bearish Day Statistics

Deep statistical analysis of EUR/USD Daily bearish streaks focused on continuation reliability, downside breakout efficiency, and reversal formation after prolonged bearish expansion.

Updated Apr 2, 2026 n = 1,664 bearish Daily TF
Sample
1,664
Total bearish data points
Base Rate
50.12%
Single day bearish probability
Reversal Signal
85.89%
Bullish reversal probability after 3 bearish days
Streak Analysis

Consecutive Day Probabilities

Bearish Continuation

Streak Breakdown

1,664 obs.
StreakOccurrencesContinue %Reversal %
1 Day83050.12%49.88%
2 Day41624.52%75.48%
3 Day Signal21014.11%85.89%
4 Day1208.01%91.99%
5 Day403.15%96.85%
6 Day322.01%97.99%
7 Day80.50%99.50%
8 Day50.30%99.70%
9 Day20.10%99.90%
10 Day10.05%99.95%

Max recorded bearish streak: 10 days.

Frequency

Streak Distribution

Occurrences

Frequency of each consecutive bearish day streak length. Most streaks end within 2 days.

Mean-Reversion

Reversal Probability by Streak

Reversal %

Likelihood of trend reversal (bullish day) increases sharply with streak length. After 3 days, odds exceed 85%.

Visual Breakdown

Continuation vs Reversal at Each Streak

Range Behaviour

Volatility Insights: Daily Price Range

Key Metrics

Range Stats

68.9
Avg Daily Range (pips)
Wednesday
Most Volatile Day
92.4
Avg Range After 3-Day Streak

After 3 consecutive bearish days, average daily range expands by +34.1% vs baseline.

Intraday Volatility

Avg Daily Range by Day of Week

Pip Range

Wednesday historically delivers the widest intraday ranges — key for targeting larger directional moves.

Raw Dataset

Explore the Underlying Data

Rows
—
Total rows in file
Columns
—
Data columns detected
Sheets
—
Sheets in workbook
Preview
100
Rows shown (free tier)

Loading dataset…

Fetching workbook.

Pro Access

Unlock the Full Dataset

SFD Pro Dataset Access
Complete dataset · Percentile tables · CSV export
Full dataset — every trading day since 2000
Percentile distribution: 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, 95th, 99th
Volatility regime breakdown (low/med/high volatility periods)
Reversal / pattern analysis by streak length
One-click CSV export for backtesting and statistical modeling
Learn More
Free vs Pro
Feature Free Pro
Row limit100All rows
Percentile tables✗✓
Volatility breakdown✗✓
Pattern analysis✗✓
CSV export✗✓
Observations

Key Trading Insights

Insight 1

Single Day Odds Are Even

After one bearish day, only 50.12% continue — near 50/50, showing no strong downside momentum.

Insight 2

Two-Day Streaks Fade

After 2 bearish days, continuation drops to 24.52% — 75.48% reversal. Downside persistence is weak.

Insight 3 · Key Signal

Three Days = Strong Reversal Signal

After 3 bearish days, 85.89% reverse (bullish). Only 14.11% continue — a powerful mean-reversion trigger.

Insight 4

Extended Streaks Extremely Rare

At 5+ days, reversal odds exceed 96%. Longest recorded: 10 consecutive bearish days.

Potential Trading Application

EUR/USD reveals limited capacity for sustained bearish momentum. After 3+ consecutive down days, bullish reversal probability exceeds 85%. Consider:

Scaling into long positions after extended bearish runs
Taking profits on shorts after 2–3 consecutive down days
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis.
Data Library

Explore Our EUR/USD Datasets

Dive deeper into specific aspects of EUR/USD price action.

Free

Consecutive Lower Low Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.

6,420 days tracked View →
Free

Bearish Day Open – Low Range Frequency

Distribution of how far price travels from the daily open to the session low on bearish days.

Daily candles analysed View →
Free

Bearish Day Open – Close Range Frequency

How far from the daily open price closes on bearish days — range percentile distributions.

All bearish daily closes View →
Free

Bearish Day Open – High Range Frequency

Retracement distribution from daily open to session high on bearish days — key for stop placement.

All bearish daily candles View →
Related Pair

EUR/JPY Bearish Streak Probability

Compare bearish streak continuation odds on EUR/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.

Daily candles analysed View →
Data Hub

EUR/USD Data Hub

The full EUR/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All EUR/USD datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →