EUR/USD Range
Bullish Close Drift
Comprehensive analysis of how far price moves from the open on bullish days in EUR/USD. Based on 2,798 bullish sessions.
Open–Close Range Distribution (Pips)
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of closing at least that far above open on a bullish day.
Cumulative Distribution
Range Distribution Histogram
1.0–10.0 pip range dominates at 23.12% — extremely tight closes, ideal for scalping strategies.
Key Trading Insights
73% close within 40 pips
Low drift from open — bullish momentum rarely extends far intraday.
23.12% — minimal follow-through
Often a reversal sign; quick profit-taking advised after small gains.
Scalper’s dream
High probability of small gains; take profits quickly and avoid holding for large moves.
Only 1.72% over 150 pips
Extremely stable day-end drift, ideal for mean reversion around close.
Trading Application
Lock profits fast — drift is minimal. Capitalize on low volatility structure.
Every 10.0–20.0 pips
Given 23% of days close <10 pips, lock in gains early — scale out aggressively.
Mean reversion towards close
Only 13% exceed 50 pips — selling extended bullish moves has high success.
Tiny gap risk
Ultra-low drift reduces overnight slippage; but beware NFP/CPI gaps.
Explore Our EUR/USD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of EUR/USD price action.
Bullish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
How far price dips below the daily open before recovering on bullish days — drawdown percentile distributions.
Bullish Day Open – High Range Frequency
Distribution of how far price travels from the daily open to the session high on bullish days.
Consecutive Higher High Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.
EUR/JPY Bullish Open – Low Range
Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on EUR/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.
EUR/GBP Bullish Open – Low Range
Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.
EUR/USD Data Hub
The full EUR/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.