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Back To EUR/USD Datasets
Open — High Statistics · Bullish Day Analysis

EUR/USD Range
Distribution

Comprehensive analysis of how far price moves from the open on bullish days in EUR/USD. Based on 3,210 bullish sessions spanning 24 years.

Updated 31 Mar 2026 n = 3,210 24yr dataset
View Range Probabilities Explore Trading Insights Open Source Data
Sample
3,210
Bullish days analysed
Peak Zone
11.03%
40.0–50.0 pip range · most common
Avg Range
75.38
Average open → high pips
Cumulative
91.4%
Moves within 150 pips of open
Raw Data

Open–High Range Distribution

Range (Pips)Days% of TotalDistributionRolling %

Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day.

Probability Curve

Cumulative Distribution

75% of bullish days: high within 100 pips
91.4% of bullish days: high within 150 pips
Frequency Chart

Range Distribution Histogram

3,210 bullish sessions

40.0–50.0 pip range dominates at 11.03% — prime take-profit zone for intraday longs.

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Grinding Upside

54% between 40–70 pips

Steady, methodical climbs to targets — ideal for scaling out.

Peak: 40.0–50.0

11.03% frequency

A frequent take-profit area — align targets with this high-density zone.

Controlled Moves

91% below 150 pips

Low volatility queen — only 8.6% exceed 150 pips, ideal for fixed targets.

Mean Reversion

Fade extremes

Rare spikes beyond 150 pips often retrace — edge for fade entries.

Strategy Framework

Trading Application

Capture small wins. Mean reversion rules — trade the high-probability zones.

Target 40–80 pips

50%+ hit rate

Align with 40–50 and 60–70 peak density. High-probability profit zone.

Scale out at 60 & 100

Laddering approach

Partial exits at 60 pips, then 100 pips to capture grind while managing risk.

Fade extremes

Mean reversion expected

When price exceeds 150 pips, high probability of pullback to median.

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Watch NFP & CPI releases. NFP correlation: moderate · major driver
Data Library

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Consecutive Higher High Streaks

Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.

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Related Pair

EUR/JPY Bullish Open – High Range

Compare bullish open-high range distributions on EUR/JPY — a highly correlated USD pair.

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Compare bullish open-high range distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.

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Data Hub

EUR/USD Data Hub

The full EUR/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

All EUR/USD datasets View All →
Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →
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© 2026 SmartFinanceData. All data is historical and does not guarantee future performance.