GBP/NZD Bearish Momentum
Net Range Distribution
Comprehensive analysis of how far GBP/NZD closes below the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 3,183 bearish days spanning 24+ years of price history.
Open–Close Range Distribution (Bearish)
| Range (Pips ↓) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of closing at least that far below open on a bearish day.
Cumulative Distribution (Close ≤ Open)
Range Distribution Histogram
>1500 pip range leads at 29.09% — highest probability zone for bearish continuation and take-profit scaling.
Key Trading Insights
29.09% >1500 Pips
The single highest probability outcome – nearly 1 in 3 bearish days closes with massive net decline.
100–700 Pip Consistency
Each 100-pip band (100–700) accounts for 5.47%–5.84% — forming a dense, reliable net-move zone.
900–1000 Pips Midpoint
50% of bearish days close at least 900–1000 pips lower — ideal baseline for reward expectation.
71.6% ≥1400 Pips
Substantial net moves dominate — 7 out of 10 bearish sessions deliver deep declines.
Trading Application (Open → Close)
Understanding the net daily movement from open to close helps set high-probability profit targets and define reward potential for bearish GBP/NZD setups.
>1500 pips
Dominant 29.09% probability — highly attainable end-of-day target.
100–700 pips
Reliable core cluster (34.54% of closes) for scaling out early.
900–1000 pips
Median close — realistic typical daily reward expectation.
Explore Our GBP/NZD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of GBP/NZD price action.
Bearish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
Distribution of how far price falls from the daily open to the session low on bearish days.
Bearish Day Open – High Range Frequency
How far price pushes above the daily open before reversing on bearish days — rejection percentile distributions.
Consecutive Lower Low Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.
GBP/CAD Bearish Open – Close Range
Compare bearish open-close range distributions on GBP/CAD — a highly correlated USD pair.
GBP/AUD Bearish Open – Close Range
Compare bearish open-close range distributions on GBP/AUD — the direct EUR strength cross.
GBP/NZD Data Hub
The full GBP/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.