Consecutive Day Analysis · 1,558 Bearish Data Points

GBP/NZD Consecutive
Bearish Day Statistics

GBP/NZD bearish consecutive candle statistics uncovering the relationship between sustained bearish pressure, declining momentum efficiency, and corrective market behavior.

Updated Apr 3, 2026 n = 1,558 bearish Daily TF
Sample
1,558
Total bearish data points
Base Rate
49.52%
Single day bearish probability
Reversal Signal
85.84%
Reversal probability after 3 bearish days
Streak Analysis

Consecutive Day Probabilities

Bearish Continuation

Streak Breakdown

1,558 obs.
StreakOccurrencesContinue %Reversal %
1 Day78049.52%50.48%
2 Day39525.08%74.92%
3 Day Signal22314.16%85.84%
4 Day885.59%94.41%
5 Day402.54%97.46%
6 Day271.71%98.29%
7 Day90.57%99.43%
8 Day70.44%99.56%
9 Day30.19%99.81%
10 Day00.00%100.00%
11 Day20.13%99.87%
12 Day10.06%99.94%

Max recorded streak: 12 consecutive bearish days.

Frequency

Consecutive Bearish Days Distribution

Occurrences

Frequency of each consecutive bearish day streak length. Most streaks end within 2 days.

Mean-Reversion

Reversal Probability by Bearish Streak

Reversal %

Likelihood of trend reversal increases sharply with streak length. After 3 days, odds exceed 85%.

Visual Breakdown

Continuation vs Reversal at Each Streak

Range Behaviour

Volatility Insights: Daily Price Range

Key Metrics

Range Stats

124.6
Avg Daily Range (pips)
Wednesday
Most Volatile Day
150.2
Avg Range After 3-Day Streak

After 3 consecutive bearish days, average daily range expands by +20.5% vs baseline.

Intraday Volatility

Avg Daily Range by Day of Week

Pip Range

Wednesday historically delivers the widest intraday ranges for GBP/NZD — key for targeting larger directional moves.

Raw Dataset

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Complete dataset · Percentile tables · CSV export
Full dataset — every trading day since 2000
Percentile distribution: 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, 95th, 99th
Volatility regime breakdown (low/med/high volatility periods)
Reversal / pattern analysis by streak length
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Observations

Key Trading Insights

Insight 1

Single Day Downside is Slightly Favored

After one bearish day, 49.52% continue — mild downside bias, close to a coin flip but with a slight edge.

Insight 2

Two-Day Declines Fade Quickly

After 2 bearish days, only 25.08% continue — 74.92% reverse. Momentum evaporates swiftly.

Insight 3 · Key Signal

Three Days = High Reversal Signal

After 3 bearish days, 85.84% reverse. Only 14.16% continue — a powerful mean-reversion trigger.

Insight 4

Extended Bearish Streaks Are Rare

Only 5.59% of streaks exceed 4 days. Beyond 5 days, reversal odds >97%. Longest observed: 12 days.

Potential Trading Application

GBP/NZD struggles to maintain extended bearish runs — data reinforces fading momentum. Consider:

Scaling into longs after 3+ consecutive red days
Covering shorts and taking profits after 2–3 down days
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis.
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Data Hub

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Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →