GBP/NZD Bullish Dips
Open–Low Range Distribution
How deep does price retrace on bullish days? Analyse 2,971 bullish sessions across 24+ years. Essential for stop placement & dip-buying strategies.
Open–Low Range Distribution
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of low being at least that far below open on a bullish day.
Cumulative Drawdown Probability
Drawdown Distribution Histogram
Peak at 100–200 pips (11.01%) — typical retracement zone before continuation.
Key Trading Insights
52% within 500 pips
Dairy-driven pullbacks stay shallow — ideal for tight stops on strong trends.
11.01% — stop hunter's dream
Highest density zone; place protective stops beyond 250 pips to avoid noise.
89% within 1500 pips
Most dips remain manageable; reward/risk can be optimised on mean reversion.
10.74% over 1500 pips
Deep retracements occur during NZD stress — scale into longs only with macro confirmation.
📈 Trading Application: Protect Longs
Kiwi calm = shallow dips. Use data-driven levels for entries and stop losses.
Below open
Place initial stops 150–280 pips below open to avoid 100–200 pip peak zone.
On strength
Once price moves >600 pips, trail stops aggressively — only 21% of dips exceed 600 pips.
Mean reversion edge
50% of dips exceed 300 pips; add to longs when macro supports GBP strength.
Explore Our GBP/NZD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of GBP/NZD price action.
Bullish Day Open – Close Range Frequency
How far from the daily open price closes on bullish days — range percentile distributions.
Bullish Day Open – High Range Frequency
Distribution of how far price travels from the daily open to the session high on bullish days.
Consecutive Higher High Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.
GBP/USD Bullish Open – Low Range
Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on GBP/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.
GBP/AUD Bullish Open – Low Range
Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on GBP/AUD — the direct EUR strength cross.
GBP/NZD Data Hub
The full GBP/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.