GBP/NZD Complete
Statistics & Probabilities
Comprehensive data insights from 6,159 trading days spanning 23 years of market history. Dataset covers 2000–2023 across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
Daily Close Bias
Bull vs Bear Day Split
Historical Data Range
Volatility Statistics
Return distribution: slightly right-skewed (+0.17) with near-normal tails (kurtosis 3.16). Despite a −7.19% Brexit flash crash, the large sample of 6,159 days keeps the distribution well-conditioned. 7.29% total price change range over 23 years.
Key Trading Insights
51.7% bearish vs 48.2% bullish
GBP/NZD has a consistent bearish daily close bias over 23 years — confirmed across all timeframes. Weekly (48.2% bullish), monthly (48.6% bullish), and daily all point the same direction: structural NZD strength relative to GBP over the full dataset period.
71.51% lower highs on down days
On bearish days, sellers cap rallies on over 7 in 10 sessions (71.51%), with 69.96% also printing a lower low. GBP/NZD's downside momentum is among the most decisive in the SFD cross-pair library — clean, structured selling pressure on red candles.
70.41% higher lows on up days
When GBP/NZD does close bullish, 7 in 10 sessions hold a higher low. Despite the overall bearish drift, bullish days show clean intraday structure — the pair trends well in both directions once committed to a daily direction.
−7.19% in a single day (Jun 2016)
The Brexit referendum produced GBP/NZD's largest single-day loss at −7.19%. GBP's crash was amplified by NZD's safe-haven demand as investors rotated into commodity currencies during the initial risk-off shock. The pair remains highly susceptible to UK political risk events.
6,159 days — most in the SFD library
GBP/NZD's dataset starting from January 2000 gives it the largest sample in the SFD cross-pair library. More data means higher statistical confidence in the bearish bias — with 6,159 observations, the 51.7% bearish rate is highly robust to sampling noise.
From 3.71 to 1.67 over 16 years
GBP/NZD fell 54% from its October 2000 peak of 3.7124 to a November 2016 low of 1.67495 — a relentless NZD appreciation story driven by New Zealand's strong commodity terms of trade, high interest rate differentials, and GBP's structural post-GFC and Brexit weakness.
Explore Related GBP/NZD Data
Daily Close Probability Calendar
Month-by-month calendar view of GBP/NZD daily close probabilities broken down by day of week and date.
Bullish Streak Probabilities
Continuation and reversal odds after consecutive bullish closes on GBP/NZD daily candles.
Higher High Streak Probabilities
Frequency and reversal probability of consecutive daily higher highs forming on GBP/NZD.
Lower Low Streak Probabilities
Frequency and reversal probability of consecutive daily lower lows forming on GBP/NZD.
Open – Close Range Probabilities
How far from the daily open price closes on bullish and bearish days — range percentile distributions for GBP/NZD.
GBP/NZD Data Hub
The full GBP/NZD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.