GBP/USD Range
Upside Distribution
Comprehensive analysis of how far GBP/USD rallies above the daily open on bullish sessions. Based on 5,655 bullish days spanning decades of price history.
Open–High Range Distribution
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day (open → high).
Cumulative Distribution
Range Distribution Histogram
Peak zone 600–700 pips (9.28%) — momentum sweet spot; 17.95% exceed 1500 pips reflecting BOE hawkish sentiment.
Key Trading Insights
17.95% exceed 1500 pips
Strong upside tail — BOE hawkish stance and carry flows drive extended breakouts. Rare but high-impact moves.
9.28% — momentum sweet spot
Highest density occurs in the 600–700 pip zone — ideal for partial profit-taking and trailing stops.
82% above 1400 pips
Majority of bullish sessions extend beyond 1400 pips — directional persistence is strong; avoid fading early.
Only 2.55% under 200 pips
Very few bullish days stall within 200 pips; confirms that upside momentum typically delivers meaningful range expansion.
📈 Trading Application
Capture pound rallies — steady upside persistence. Align stops & targets with range distribution.
800–1600 pips
50%+ odds of extension beyond 800 pips; scale out between 700–1200 pips for efficiency.
700 & 1200 pips
Partial profit at 700 pips (peak density) and again at 1200 pips — aligns with distribution clusters.
Fed caps & reversals
Beyond 1600 pips, consider fade setups — macro news (US jobs, UK GDP) often trigger mean reversion.
Explore Our GBP/USD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of GBP/USD price action.
Bullish Day Open – Close Range Frequency
How far from the daily open price closes on bullish days — range percentile distributions.
Bullish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
Drawdown distribution from daily open to session low on bullish days — key for stop placement.
Consecutive Higher High Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.
GBP/USD Bullish Open – High Range
Compare bullish open-high range distributions on GBP/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.
EUR/GBP Bullish Open – High Range
Compare bullish open-high range distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.
GBP/USD Data Hub
The full GBP/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.