NZD/USD Bearish
Range Distribution
Comprehensive analysis of how far NZD/USD trades below the daily open on bearish sessions. Based on 2,730 bearish days spanning 24 years.
Open–Low Range (Bearish Days)
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching that pip bucket on a bearish day.
Open–Low Cumulative Distribution
Range Distribution Histogram
400–500 pip range dominates at 13.33% — key downside target zone for short entries.
Key Trading Insights (Bearish Edge)
400–500 pips = 13.33%
Largest single probability for the low. 200–500 pip cluster covers 39.19% of all bearish days.
500–600 pips (median)
Median bearish move reliably within 500-600 pips. 500-pip target is highly attainable and statistically sound.
<200 pips = 9.75%
Low forms within 200 pips on less than 10% of days — confirms strong directional bias on bearish sessions.
1100 pips covers 90.2%
Targets beyond 1100 pips statistically rare (9.8%) — ideal for high-probability exits.
Take-Profit Application (Open – Low)
Realistic downside targets for short positions based on 24 years of NZD/USD bearish data.
400–500 pips
Peak distribution zone (13.33%) — highest-probability initial target for shorts.
500–600 pips (median)
Median cluster — ~60% of bearish lows complete here. Robust scaling-out level.
Capture >1100 pips moves
Aggressive trailing stop for the remaining 9.8% of extreme sell-offs.
Explore the Underlying Data
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Column Reference
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| Feature | Free | Pro |
|---|---|---|
| Row limit | 100 | All rows |
| Percentile tables | ✗ | ✓ |
| Volatility breakdown | ✗ | ✓ |
| Pattern analysis | ✗ | ✓ |
| CSV export | ✗ | ✓ |
Explore Our NZD/USD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of NZD/USD price action.
Bearish Day Open – Close Range Frequency
How far from the daily open price closes on bearish days — range percentile distributions.
Bearish Day Open – High Range Frequency
How far price pushes above the daily open before reversing on bearish days — rejection percentile distributions.
Consecutive Lower Low Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily lower lows forming across tracked history.
AUD/USD Bearish Open – Low Range
Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on AUD/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.
AUD/NZD Bearish Open – Low Range
Compare bearish open-low extension distributions on AUD/NZD — the direct EUR strength cross.
NZD/USD Data Hub
The full NZD/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.