NZD/USD Range
Bullish Momentum
Comprehensive analysis of how far NZD/USD rallies above the daily open on bullish sessions. Based on 2,942 bullish days spanning 24 years.
Open–High Range Distribution
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Distribution | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of reaching at least that pip bucket on a bullish day.
Cumulative Distribution
Range Distribution Histogram
400–500 pip range dominates at 14.82% — prime target zone for profit-taking or trailing stops.
Key Trading Insights
47% exceed 400 pips
Nearly half of bullish days rally beyond 400 pips — reflects RBNZ policy momentum & dairy strength.
14.82% sweet spot
Highest density bucket — ideal zone for scaling out partial positions or adjusting stops.
Trend-friendly
Over 70% of bullish days push at least 600 pips from open — strong momentum environment.
Only 2.45% over 1500 pips
Extreme tail risk is minimal; NZD/USD rarely sees blow-off rallies beyond 1500 pips on bullish days.
📈 Trading Application
Capture dairy rallies & RBNZ-driven momentum. Let trends run using probabilistic targets.
50%+ probability
Over 59% reach 600 pips; 30%+ hit 900 pips — ride the kiwi trend.
High-conviction zones
Partial profit at 500 pips (peak density), then trail to capture extended runs.
Fundamental alignment
NZD/USD correlated with Global Dairy Trade index — monitor auction results.
Explore Our NZD/USD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of NZD/USD price action.
Bullish Day Open – Close Range Frequency
How far from the daily open price closes on bullish days — range percentile distributions.
Bullish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
Drawdown distribution from daily open to session low on bullish days — key for stop placement.
Consecutive Higher High Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.
AUD/USD Bullish Open – High Range
Compare bullish open-high range distributions on AUD/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.
AUD/NZD Bullish Open – High Range
Compare bullish open-high range distributions on AUD/NZD — the direct EUR strength cross.
NZD/USD Data Hub
The full NZD/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.