Consecutive Day Analysis · 1,462 Bullish Data Points

NZD/USD Consecutive
Bullish Day Statistics

Historical NZD/USD Daily bullish streak statistics uncovering the relationship between consecutive bullish closes, trend strength development, and the likelihood of corrective pullbacks or continued upside expansion.

Updated Apr 2, 2026 n = 1,462 bullish Daily TF
Sample
1,462
Total bullish data points
Base Rate
49.45%
Single day bullish probability
Reversal Signal
85.40%
Reversal probability after 3 bullish days
Streak Analysis

Consecutive Day Probabilities

Bullish Continuation

Streak Breakdown

1,462 obs.
StreakOccurrencesContinue %Reversal %

Max recorded streak: 10 days. Streaks beyond 10 days: 0 occurrences.

Frequency

Streak Distribution

Occurrences

Frequency of each consecutive bullish day streak length. Most streaks end within 2 days.

Mean-Reversion

Reversal Probability by Streak

Reversal %

Likelihood of trend reversal increases sharply with streak length. After 3 days, odds exceed 85%.

Visual Breakdown

Continuation vs Reversal at Each Streak

Range Behaviour

Volatility Insights: Daily Price Range

Key Metrics

Range Stats

68.2
Avg Daily Range (pips)
Wednesday
Most Volatile Day
87.5
Avg Range After 3-Day Streak

After 3 consecutive bullish days, average daily range expands by +28.3% vs baseline.

Intraday Volatility

Avg Daily Range by Day of Week

Pip Range

Wednesday historically delivers the widest intraday ranges — key for targeting larger directional moves in NZD/USD.

Raw Dataset

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Pro Access

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Complete dataset · Percentile tables · CSV export
Full dataset — every trading day since 2000
Percentile distribution: 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, 95th, 99th
Volatility regime breakdown (low/med/high volatility periods)
Reversal / pattern analysis by streak length
One-click CSV export for backtesting and statistical modeling
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Observations

Key Trading Insights

Insight 1

Single Day Odds Slightly Favor Reversal

After one bullish day, continuation is 49.45% vs 50.55% reversal — effectively a coin flip with a slight reversal lean.

Insight 2

Two-Day Streaks Show Weak Continuation

After 2 consecutive bullish days, only 24.08% continue — 75.92% reverse. Momentum fades abruptly.

Insight 3 · Key Signal

Three Days Signals High Reversal Risk

After 3 bullish days, reversal probability is 85.40%. Only 14.60% continue — a powerful mean-reversion trigger.

Insight 4

Extended Streaks Are Extremely Rare

Only 5.87% of streaks exceed 4 days. Beyond 5 days, reversal odds exceed 96%. Longest observed: 10 consecutive days.

Potential Trading Application

NZD/USD reveals a limited capacity for sustained bullish momentum. Extended streaks beyond four days are infrequent (5.87% of all bullish streaks). Consider:

Fading long positions after 3+ bullish days due to high reversal odds
Taking profits on longs after 2-day runs
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis.
Data Library

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Data Hub

NZD/USD Data Hub

The full NZD/USD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.

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Tip: Layer multiple datasets for edge — e.g., combine Consecutive Higher High Streaks with Bullish Close Probability Calendar. Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →