USD/CAD Range
Bullish Close Distribution
Comprehensive analysis of bullish day ranges — from open to close. Based on 5,474 bullish sessions spanning decades of crude-sensitive price action.
Open–Close Range Distribution
| Range (Pips) | Days | % of Total | Dist. | Rolling % |
|---|
Rolling % = cumulative probability of closing at least that far above open on a bullish day.
Cumulative Distribution
Range Distribution Histogram
Peak at 10–100 pips (20.08%) — USD/CAD exhibits limited follow-through, ideal for scalping & quick exits.
Key Trading Insights
54% within 300 pips
Crude calm translates to contained bullish days — modest extensions.
20.08% — minimal drift
Highest density bucket shows low momentum; take profits early.
Scalper's haven
Only 2.1% of days exceed 1500 pips — fade extreme rallies.
2.10% over 1500 pips
Low volatility on bullish sessions — ideal for mean-reversion strategies.
Trading Application
Lock profits fast. Minimal drift — USD/CAD bullish days rarely run wild. Evidence-backed exits.
Scale out at 200, 400, 600 pips — aligns with density clusters; most closes below 600.
Beyond 500 pips, only 20% continue; high probability of mean reversion.
Stable carry pair; low overnight gap risk due to oil & bond sensitivity.
Explore Our USD/CAD Datasets
Dive deeper into specific aspects of USD/CAD price action.
Bullish Day Open – Low Range Frequency
How far price dips below the daily open before recovering on bullish days — drawdown percentile distributions.
Bullish Day Open – High Range Frequency
Distribution of how far price travels from the daily open to the session high on bullish days.
Consecutive Higher High Streaks
Frequency and success rate of consecutive daily higher highs forming across tracked history.
GBP/USD Bullish Open – Low Range
Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on GBP/USD — a highly correlated USD pair.
EUR/GBP Bullish Open – Low Range
Compare bullish open-low drawdown distributions on EUR/GBP — the direct EUR strength cross.
USD/CAD Data Hub
The full USD/CAD dataset library — streaks, ranges, calendars, and key statistics in one place.