Consecutive Lower Low Analysis · 2,400 Bearish Data Points

USD/CAD Consecutive
Lower Low Day Statistics

Comprehensive USD/CAD Daily lower low streak analytics highlighting trend persistence, downside acceleration phases, and statistically relevant bullish reversal formations.

Updated June 4, 2026 n = 2,400 lower-low streaks Daily TF
Sample
2,400
Total lower-low data points
Base Rate
47.28%
Single day lower-low probability
Reversal Signal
87.22%
Reversal (higher low) after 3 lower lows
Streak Analysis

Consecutive Lower Low Day Probabilities

Bearish Continuation

Streak Breakdown

2,400 obs.
Streak (Lower Lows)OccurrencesContinue %Reversal %

Max recorded streak: 13 consecutive lower lows (0.04% frequency). Streaks of 11–12 days: zero occurrences.

Frequency

Lower Low Streak Distribution

Occurrences

Most lower-low streaks end within 2 days; streaks beyond 4 days are rare.

Mean-Reversion

Reversal Probability by Streak (Higher Low)

Higher Low %

Likelihood of a higher low day increases sharply after 3 consecutive lower lows, exceeding 87%.

Visual Breakdown

Continuation vs Reversal (Lower Low)

Observations

Key Trading Insights

Insight 1

Single-Day Lower Lows Are Most Common

1,128 occurrences — reflecting the choppy price action of USD/CAD without strong follow-through.

Insight 2

Two-Day Lower Lows Resist Continuation

After 2 lower lows, continuation drops to 25.73% — 74.27% reverse. Momentum lacks persistence.

Insight 3 · Key Signal

Three-Day Streak Signals Strong Reversal

After 3 lower lows, 87.22% reverse to a higher low. Only 12.78% continue — robust mean-reversion trigger.

Insight 4

Extended Downward Streaks Are Rare

Only 7.04% of streaks last 4+ days. Beyond 5 days, reversal probability exceeds 96%.

Potential Trading Application

Consecutive lower lows often suggest bearish momentum, but USD/CAD shows limited capacity for sustained downside. After 3+ lower lows, reversal probability exceeds 87%. Traders might consider:

Scaling into longs after 3+ lower lows (87%+ reversal odds)
Taking profits on shorts after 2-day lower low runs
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Combine with technical/fundamental analysis.
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Correlated

USD/CHF Bearish Streak Odds

Compare lower-low continuation on correlated USD pairs.

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Calendar

Lower Low Seasonal Trends

Monthly and weekday distribution of lower-low streaks.

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Tip: Layer consecutive lower low streaks with open-low range data for improved mean-reversion entries.Upgrade to Pro · unlock all datasets →